http://zit-com.livejournal.com

Программа ЗИТ.КОМ (со ссылками)

1. Принимая во внимание
1.1. Распад ранее существовавшей русской нации на 1. корпоративно-клановую систему, 2.дегенеративно-рефлексоидное большинство, 3. оставшихся здоровых или интеллектуальных или талантливых русских (ЗИТ)
1.2. Существование окружающего мира как мира сражающихся наций в условиях нехватки жизненного пространства (ресурсов) и уничтожение проигравших в борьбе наций

2. Руководствуясь
2.1. Современными научными методами, включая социальную биологию и эволюционную психологию
2.2. Лозунгом «Качество нации, количество нации, жизненное пространство нации»
2.3. Лозунгом «Что хорошо для ЗИТ, хорошо для нации».

3. В интересах ЗИТ
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(no subject)

По состоянию на 10 августа в Урановом Руднике полностью выгорело 150 тыс. км2 тайги, что составляет 1% от всей мировой тайги, или 2% от всей российской тайги или 5% от всей якутской тайги. Это рекорд за всю историю наблюдений. С такими темпами лет через 20 китайцам не будет что пилить.

Кстати о китайцах. РФ конечно же ни технически, ни экономически, ни политически не в состоянии решить проблему лесных пожаров в тайге. А вот китайцы, я думаю, могут.

Вообще последние годы я наблюдаю, что в российском пропагандонском сообществе выделен специальный сектор, который призван доносить пролам месседж, что на самом деле китайцам российская Сибирь не нужна.
Ну посудите сами, на кой теплолюбивым косоглазым этот холодный энцефалитный лес и болота без дорог? России они нужны, а китайцам нафиг сдались.
Вот Китай заявляет претензии на глобальное лидерство. Его интересы распространяются теперь и на Африку, и на Латинскую Америку, и на Белоруссию, и даже на Антарктиду. А вот граничащая с Китаем Сибирь - в эти интересы совсем не входит.

"Greta Thunberg's last straw" by Vladimir Stus

Vladimir Stus
Greta Thunberg's last straw: why the world is moving away from transnational corporations back to small workshops

In essence, the phenomenon of Greta Thunberg represents an attempt of large corporations from developed countries to retain their dominant position.

Previously, there were two different mechanisms at work: first one was WTO, that puts manufacturers of products with high added value in a privileged position as compared to producers of commodities, semi-processed goods and agriculturel products. However, due to deceleration of a rate of science-and-technology progress (STP) this mechanism has lost its effectiveness.

The portion of high-tech products that is not possible to copy in the developing countries has fallen sharply, and the WTO ceased to be a reliable defense for the markets of the developed countries. For this reason at the present time WTO is in a deep crisis, and President Trump has made a statement about possibility of the US leaving WTO.

The second mechanism of protection of the markets of the developed countries from average value-added products of the developing countries consists in a rise of ecological standards. The most illustrative example is as it follows: as soon as technology level and production practices in the mostly built on Western investments China's automobile assembly plants becomes highly cost-competitive as compared to the Western products, appears a new, more demanding emissions standard that for several years becomes a technology barrier, protecting Western markets. However, this mechanism is also becoming ineffective.

Under the conditions of diminishing real spending capacity of the Western mass consumers and erosion of Western middle class the mass consumer becomes unable to bear the expenses of yet another toughening of environmental regulations. When transition from Euto-5 to Euro-6 results in an increase of aggregate expenses for owning a new VW Golf by tens of percent, while its expected service life decreases, and maintenance costs are rising, then the most dutiful and environment-conscious citizen will have his doubts. Additionally, toughening of environmental standards sharply reduces competitiveness of Western products on the markets in other jurisdictions, for example, in a far away and undercivilized Ukraine insufficiently conscious consumers prefer products of Korean automobile industry having dated ecological standards.

There is no exit out of this dead-end in the framework of the existing world order, as it is beyond all doubt demonstrated by the trade war between the US and China. There were no Western countries, willing to give support to the US in its confrontation with China.

Furthermore, there is a new affliction to bear - an adaptive economic growth. It is well-known that Western transnational corporations cannot be competitive in costs. For this reason, they concentrate on the game-changing innovations, and are not interested in adaptive improvements that can be easily copied on the developing markets.

For better understanding of the difference between the two types of innovative growth let us review the following example.

In March of 2011 in the yet printed version of a magazine "D'yelo" was published my forecast "An electromobile bubble". After eight years one can observe that that forecast came true across the board.

There was no breakthrough in enhancement of the main parameters of accumulators despite significant expenses on research and development by large corporations, as well as subsidies from budgets of all without exception developed countries. Long awaited technological revolution did not materialize.

The rates of growth of production of electric vehicles at the present time are many-fold lower, than the ones, forecasted in 2011, and they are still heavily depend on the government support.
Electric vehicles still are not a mass product, they are still expensive toys, high-status attributes, or, at best, functional high-status products.
Absolute majority of the rare-earth metals, that are necessary for production of accumulators are still produced in China.
And now let us review the scale of support of the process of advancing electric vehicles. Thousands of websites, hundreds of thousands of articles. The level of intensity of propaganda of this technology does not closely match more than modest technological and economic results. It is clear that propaganda on such a large scale cannot be a result of actions of large corporations, it is obvious that it is an international effort of many states.
Another example is electric bikes, segways, electric scooters. In 2011 they were not present on the mass market, while presently their sales exceed that of EVs by many times. We see an explosion of sales by a factor of ten almost without any publicity stunts. Few futurologists did not sing praise to the EVs, to that technological curse, that unfulfilled dream of the last one hundred years. And yet almost all of them disregarded an explosion in small electric devices. Furthermore, they still appear not to notice it. No, they do not negate it, they just ignore it. Why?

The reason lies in the field of futurology itself. A mass adoption of EVs would become a major breakthrough! It would become a proof of an acceleration of STP, while a mass adoption of electric scooters and segways represents an adaptive innovation. This development further attests to the fact that the rates of STP has sharply fallen.

The reason for this lies in the field of technology. An EV like Tesla is a high-technology product, it cannot be copied in China that easily. While electric scooters are not high-tech products, and producers in South-East Asia have adopted their manufacturing in very short time. Those were new products, the culture of their exploitation did not exist, therefore, there was no need in teaching the locals in SEA Western traditions of consumption. And the Western manufacturers still cannot compete in costs.

There is a reason for this from the field of microeconomics. A workshop or mid-size plant has sufficient capacity to produce components of electric scooters, or to assemble them. There is no sense in producing them in the framework of large transnational corporations.

Further, there is a reason that has to do with raw materials. Most of production of high-grade lithium is concentrated in China.

All of before said combined is illustrative of the completely different type of economic growth, than was prevalent in 20th century, different from what was forecasted by postmodern futurologists, believers in singularity, and from what they expect in transnational corporations. For this reason they prefer not to notice this development, instead directing attention of general public toward technological bubbles.

Thus, the already for a half of century expected acceleration of rates of science-and-technology progress has not materialized, while the devices of stimulating mass demand, such as marketing and advertisement, are at their limits.

Capacity of WTO for protection of markets of developed countries from the developing countries is also at its limits. It is no coincidence that trade wars are starting presently.

The reserves of financial stimulation of economies are not only at their limits, they became a major cause of growth of bubbles on financial markets. The effectiveness of raising environmental standards as a measure of protection of markets of developed countries is also at its limits. This type of protectionism increases the costs of manufacturing as well as costs of maintenance. The rapidly shrinking middle class in the developed countries already cannot afford products that meet the highest environmental standards. Besides, this type of products struggles with finding demand abroad. It is more reasonable for consumers in developing countries to purchase something less expensive, if built on old environmental standards, as well as on old standards of inclusiveness and political correctness from manufacturers from the developing markets. Further , in equation come the psychological aspects of the local consumers. For example, the consumers in China on mass opt out of purchasing the US made goods, even if tariffs are not applied to these goods.

As a result, industry of the Western countries are in a recession. Trump's idea to return manufacturing from China proved to be utopian. Rates of recession of industrial production in Germany in May 2019 constituted 0.3%, in July - 1.5%, and by the end of 2019 expected value is 5.3%

In these circumstances, the Western, and most notably, European large businesses are in a dyre need for new tools of protecting their markets. So, first president Macron opined about an urgent need of a shift of business toward being environment-friendly and introduction of tax on carbon dioxide emissions, then appeared Greta Thunberg as an emotional ram.

The idea seemed to be well-conceived: introduction of a climate state of emergency for not sufficiently conscious countries, as well as for the producers that fail to meet new climatic standards. However, two problems have became evident. No, not the attached to the phenomenon of Saint Greta strings, held by the large business. More serious problems.

The first problem is European consumers. Since it is exactly the eroding middle class that has to pay the bill for this party, by purchasing the products that are in compliance with the new environmental standards. As a result, these Macron's April's ideas were dismissed by the voters at the election to European parliament, while Macron, having lost his popularity, in order to avoid position of a lame duck, as it had already happened to president Hollande, had to grasp at any straw, however illusory it is, such as attempts to re-launch the process of integration within the EU, or looking for grounds to make up with Putin. His position of a drowning person, fruitlessly grasping at anything is understandable, since it became clear that the scale of the coming crash will significantly exceed that of the crash of 2008.

The second problem originates from the fact that globalization is nearing its end, and its realization by Donald Trump, who has built his game on this premise, which at least has a little bit more of a potential, than Macron's. A regime of climatic emergency is utterly impossible to realize without the United States, and even Greta's histrionics will not help.

What options do remain for transnational corporations in this situation? If a war would help they had already started it, however, the states do not have money for modern wars, even small-scale ones and local. Any war will become prolonged and will turn into a mess, where high-tech weaponry will cease to be decisive, a living example being the war in Eastern Ukraine, where most casualties are caused by mortar shellings, similarly to WW2. At the same time transnational corporations, that manufacture standardized, or, to a large degree standardized products, will be hit most by trade barriers, introduced by belligerent countries, as well as by loss of their markets.

The only viable strategy of preserving the assets by large transnational corporations, specializing in manufacturing of mid-tech products, that just recently used to be high-tech, appears to be their planned transformation into a network of small national producers, oriented toward the local markets. It is notable that the further will progress the Time of Troubles, the more fragmented will the markets become, thus, the optimal scale of production will decrease. And at the peak of regionalization (a process that is opposite to globalization) in the countries with unfavorable conditions for growth in a post-crisis world it will return to a size of a workshop. Transnational corporations that grew from workshops during the stage of Modern will once again become workshops. From the point of view of economics this transformation is impossible, no less than an eruption of a volcano, which is a periodic process in geology, but not in economics. Similarly, concentration of manufacturing in the phase of Modern ("a period of Asabiyyah", "a stage of high passionarity", "Time of Changes") and decentralization of manufacturing in the following phase of "Time of Troubles" is a normal periodic process from the point of view of civilizational analysis. Thus, the phases of fast growth represent periodsof time when various forms of concentration of capital and labor are effective. Then, in the course of the Time of Troubles, caused by transition from fast growth to slow growth, effectiveness of concentration disappears, and almost all of its forms dissipate into mid-size and small businesses, that is, in workshops. And it is possible to prove this unrealistic from the point of view of the science of economics hypothesis about a new "guild handicraft" not only through a prognostic approach. It is well-known that some mid-size or small businesses exist through centuries, family-enterprises among them, for instance, a famous Italian "Beretta", which until the period of Modern, that is, until approximately year of 1870, remained a small business, oriented predominantly toward a local market. so are well-known family enterprises in Japan that exist for many centuries. However, there is no extant form of a large concentration of production that existed during the previous (in relation to Modern) period of accelerated science-and-technology and cultural progress! The Venitians had built galleys by method of line assembly long before Henry Ford. The emperor of the Holy Roman Empire Charles the 5th was a first one to unite most of Europe. At that time concentration of manufacturing and of capital was super effective as well. In the same fashion from the viewpoint of civilizational analysis as Lenin in Russia in the period of Modern has expropriated the assets of manufacturers and land-owners, during the previous phase of fast growth Henry the 4th in England has expropriated assets of Catholic monasteries. In the same fashion large armies and large fleets as well as large growth of territory of colonies rendered new forms of concentration of resources super effective. And none of those forms that are analogous to the present-day transnational corporations has survived! The same is true for China - just imagine what degree of centralization of resources was required in order to build the Great Wall and to create Zheng He's fleet. And yet again, none of forms of concentration of resources has survived. All of them has dissipated to workshops! From the civilizational viewpoint the same process takes place presently. Having evolved from workshops, transnational corporations from the countries with unfavorable conditions for growth in a post-crisis world will return to a state of workshops. And it is worth noting that the first ones to crumble will be those, whose products were considered high-tech only recently, and presently can be easily copied on what is still called "the developing markets".

Thus, by elevating to the higher phenomenological level (from the level of economics to the civilizational level) the improbable forecast becomes a logical one, almost banal.

Can we control this process? And, if it is possible, then on what level? In my humble opinion, it is impossible to change anything on the level of corporations. Neither there is time, nor motivation on the part of management of the largest transnational corporations. They will still try, until the very Collapse, to accelerate the drastically fallen half a century ago rates of science-and-technology progress, to hopelessly attempt to return to a period of Modern, and to their own former effectiveness. Possibly, they will come up with some new scares, such as, "a state of climatic emergency", "a state of meteoritic emergency", and so on, that, in their mind, will allow to prolong the existence of corporations at the expense of the customer, but probability of their large-scale success is very low.

However, this process can be managed on a level of a single investor. After each collapse it becomes known that someone has moved his assets to such a safe haven, that no one thought about before, or to a segment of market, or a country that suffered substantially less, than others. It is after every expropriation of property that becomes known that someone made him, or her lucky to a place that is out of reach.

Alle Juden Müssen Geimpft Werden!

Вчера израильский премьер Нафтали Бенет выступил с обращением к нации. Максим Рыжков перевел вторую часть этого обращения, касающуюся прививок и непривитых людей:

"Есть ещё более 600 000 молодых людей в возрасте до 30 лет, которые до сих пор не вakцuнировались. Я уважаю различные взгляды. Но дискуссии сейчас неуместны и несвоевременны: речь идёт о наших жизнях.Наука однозначно говорит о том, что вakцuны работают, они практически абсолютно эффективны и безопасны для молодых людей. Для более старшего возраста они эффективны, но не настолько хорошо.Дорогие граждане! Те, кто отказывается от вakцuнации, подвергают опасности здоровье, как своё, так и своих близких, а также угрожают правам и свободам каждого израильского гражданина(!!!)Они угрожают нашему праву на труд, праву наших детей на образование и праву отмечать праздники в кругу семьи. Те, кто отказывается от вakцuн, вредят всем нам!Потому что, если бы все из нас были вakцuнированы, мы бы могли жить нашей обычной жизнью. Но если один миллион израильтян продолжает оставаться непрuвuтым, это вынуждает остальные восемь миллионов закрыться в своих домах.Коронавирусный комитет сегодня принял решение, что с 8 августа тем, кто отказывается от вakцuны, будет запрещено посещать кинотеатры, театры, синагоги, парки развлечений, футбольные матчи и любые массовые мероприятия численностью более 100 человек, неважно, в закрытом помещении или на открытом воздухе, если они не предоставят негативный тест на к-в, сделанный за свой счёт. Да-да, полностью за свои деньги!Нет причин, почему налогоплательщики, которые исполнили свой гражданский долг(!!!), вakцuнировавшись, должны финансировать этих отщепенцев.С этого момента я обращаюсь к каждому, кто знает кого-то отказывающегося вakцuнироваться: убеждайте их, объясняйте им, что они не должны наносить вред окружающим, заставляйте и объясняйте, беспрестанно!"

Ковидофошшизм

Заголовки в израильских СМИ:
Вакцина значительно менее эффективна, чем мы думали,
Первые инфицированные вакцинированы первыми,
Большинство новых госпитализированных в тяжелой форме вакцинированы,
Впервые: Большинство больных в тяжелой форме - вакцинированы,
Вакцинированные заражаются легче и более заразны,
Вакцина не помогает и не вредит.

(no subject)

 Дмитрий Милин:

"Немного о будущем после Путина.

1. Отстранить Путина, его клику и ЕР от власти может только широкая коалиция политических сил от коммунистов до либертарианцев.

2. Но и при этом в стране останется значительное от 20% до 40% сторонников Путина и прошлой власти.

3. После отстранения Путина, его клики и ЕР от власти ни у одной политической силы не будет абсолютного большинства в Думе и в других выборных органах власти. По этому проводить ни левую, ни либеральную политику не получится. Кроме случая установления диктатуры вместо демократии.

4. По причине отсутствия абсолютного большинства у любой политической силы для принятия или отмены действующих законов (что важнее), придется собирать в Думе временные ситуативные коалиции в том числе и со сторонниками Путина практически по любому закону. 

5. В этом смысле рассуждения на тему "когда мы придем к власти, тогда сделаем" бессмысленны. Если не будет установлена диктатура (а это довольно сложно сделать без гражданской войны и потери территорий а-ля Донбасс), то придется идти на компромиссы и договариваться с остальными политическими силами. Т.е. левым с правыми, коммунистам с либертарианцами, антипутинистам с путинистами.  

6. Это собственно и есть демократия, а не то о чем многие думают, представляя демократию диктатурой демократов.

7. Денег на выплаты пенсий больше, чем сейчас не будет. Бюджет будет дефицитным. На реализацию левого (или правого) популизма ресурсов не будет. Социальные расходы останутся или такими же, или даже будут сокращены. Уровень жизни неминуемо упадет.

8. Проводить либеральную экономическую политику (аналог ленинского НЭПа) после Путина будет любое, даже коммунистическое правительство. 

9. Сократить оборонные расходы без роста безработицы по стране и особенно в моногородах будет невозможно. По этому придется или поддерживать значительный уровень оборонных расходов или готовиться силами Росгвардии разгонять митинги голодных потерявших работу в оборонке рабочих. Это неприятно для любой власти, даже для действующей. И будет крайне негативно встречно избирателями, а следующие выборы наступят довольно скоро.

10. Жить деля по справедливости "природную ренту" не получится по причине падения цен на нефть и сокращения экспорта газа.

11. Экономике для развития понадобятся иностранные технологии, иностранные инвестиции и иностранные специалисты. Для этого будущему правительству России после Путина надо будет допустить переход части собственности (в том числе и государственной) в руки иностранного капитала, что тоже негативно будет оценено избирателями и отечественным бизнесом.

12. Привлекая иностранные технологии надо будет озаботится наличием собственных специалистов, которые будут готовы их воспринять и возможно развить уже в рамках отечественного бизнеса. Для этого придется остановить "утечку мозгов", например, начав доплачивать ученым и инженерам, как это сделали в Германии после 2МВ при Эрхарде."

Мой коммент: будет сформирована широкая антироссийская коалиция согласно Владимиру Стусу (см. его статьи" О формировании широкой антироссийской коалиции" и" О переформатировании России"), которая будет увеличивать давление на Москву даже после либерализации режима. Вероятно, её требованиями будут необратимые реформы, в том числе, конфедерализация и полная люстрация всех гебешников, единороссов, и т. д.
pesec_sm

Организация управления Новых городов

Организация управления Новых городов

Мемориальная фаза этногенеза.
Они не способны даже мечтать
(с) Гумилев (примерно так).

Новые города для новой нации – это проект города-корпорации с добровольным участием.

Новые города строятся на основе идеи. Соответственно, во главе проекта стоит идея. Получается, что режим – идеократия.

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Апрельские тезисы Дмитрия Милина

Из ФБ Милин Дмитрий:

" Тезисно:

1. В России невозможна «новая» или «повторная» индустриализация, поскольку в России больше нет «ресурса» крестьян, готовых переехать в города работать «за копейки». Единственный возможный путь это постиндустриальный переход (связанный с ростом производительности труда и углублением разделения труда), в котором наша страна застряла стараниями Collapse )